IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.6	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#172
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-10.7	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.8%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	16.0	15.9

.500 or above	0.9%	5.8%	0.8%
.500 or above in Conference	3.1%	8.8%	2.9%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	11.6%	2.0%	11.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.8%	0.2%
First Round	0.1%	0.8%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 10
Quad 4	3 - 9	3 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	131	@ UAB	L	56-77	2%
Dec 04, 2020	12	@ Creighton	L	55-90	0.1%
Dec 16, 2020	114	@ Belmont	L	61-85	2%
Dec 19, 2020	301	Samford	L	74-80	30%
Dec 22, 2020	183	Mercer	L	64-76	14%
Jan 01, 2021	297	Jacksonville	L	64-70	30%
Jan 02, 2021	297	Jacksonville	L	64-70	30%
Jan 08, 2021	218	@ North Florida	L	67-83	9%
Jan 09, 2021	218	@ North Florida	L	67-83	9%
Jan 15, 2021	277	North Alabama	L	67-74	28%
Jan 16, 2021	277	North Alabama	L	67-74	28%
Jan 22, 2021	147	@ Liberty	L	50-71	4%
Jan 23, 2021	147	@ Liberty	L	50-71	4%
Jan 29, 2021	292	Bellarmine	L	57-63	31%
Jan 30, 2021	292	Bellarmine	L	57-63	31%
Feb 04, 2021	170	@ Lipscomb	L	62-81	6%
Feb 06, 2021	170	@ Lipscomb	L	62-81	6%
Feb 12, 2021	241	Florida Gulf Coast	L	62-71	24%
Feb 13, 2021	241	Florida Gulf Coast	L	62-71	24%
Feb 19, 2021	250	@ Stetson	L	58-72	12%
Feb 20, 2021	250	@ Stetson	L	58-72	13%
Projected Record						3 - 18	3 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.2	2nd
3rd									0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0							0.7	3rd
4th							0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0							1.4	4th
5th						0.1	0.6	1.6	0.7	0.1									3.1	5th
6th					0.2	1.3	2.6	1.1	0.1	0.0									5.3	6th
7th			0.0	0.7	3.2	4.3	2.0	0.2	0.0										10.5	7th
8th		0.4	3.4	7.6	6.8	2.9	0.2	0.0											21.4	8th
9th	11.6	17.8	16.3	8.5	2.7	0.3	0.0												57.2	9th
10th																				10th

Total	11.6	18.2	19.8	16.8	12.8	9.0	5.5	3.3	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-2	100.0%	0.0			0.0
13-3	47.1%	0.0		0.0
12-4	71.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
11-5	24.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%																							0.0
14-2	0.0%																							0.0
13-3	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
12-4	0.0%		51.6%	51.6%		15.5																0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.2%																							0.2
10-6	0.3%		9.4%	9.4%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.3
9-7	0.9%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
8-8	1.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
7-9	3.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
6-10	5.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-11	9.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.0
4-12	12.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
3-13	16.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	16.7
2-14	19.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	19.8
1-15	18.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	18.2
0-16	11.6%																							11.6

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.9																0.0	0.2	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.7%